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U.S.-North Korea Nuclear War: Assessing Plausible Risks

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“Military strategy, whether we like it or not, has become the diplomacy of violence.”-Thomas C. Schelling, Arms and  Influence (1966) US President Donald Trump says he doesn’t know if North Korea is building additional nuclear weapons, but...
Photo: The U.S. Navy's nuclear ballistic submarine USS MAINE (SSBN -41) one of the nations newest Ohio class submarines, conducts surface navigational operations approximately 50 miles due south of Naval Station Roosevelt Roads, Puerto Rico. Credit: U.S. Navy

The Hidden Complexities of U.S. Decision-Making on North Korea

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“The existence of ‘system’ in the world is at once obvious to every observer of nature, no matter whom….”   — Pierre Teilhard de Chardin, The Phenomenon of Man The core nuclear crisis with North Korea is...

Nuclear decision-making and nuclear war: an urgent American problem

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Carl von Clausewitz wrote, “Everything in war is very simple, but the simplest thing is difficult.” His classic warning remains starkly relevant to the United States, nowhere more so than in the context of nuclear war....

Looking ahead: Longer term prospects for an Israel-Iran nuclear war

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ABSTRACT: With Prime Minister Netanyahu just reaffirming that Israel will strike both Iranian and Syrian targets as needed - most recently, after an Iranian drone briefly entered Israeli airspace, and an IAF F-161 plane...
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Altogether Bewildering Challenges

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"Professor Louis René Beres - Ph.D., Princeton, 1971 - was Chair of Project Daniel in Israel - for Prime Minister Sharon." "I am become Death, the shatterer of worlds." Bhagavad Gita, cited by American nuclear physicist...